Document Type
Article
Abstract
Question What are the estimated population health outcomes associated with implementation of graphic health warnings on cigarette packages in 2022 and with delayed implementation of the warnings since 2012, as originally planned, in the US?
Findings In this decision analytical model using simulation modeling of smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable mortality in the US from 2012 to 2100, graphic health warnings, if implemented from 2022 to 2100, would be associated with 539 000 smoking-attributable deaths averted and 7.9 million life-years gained, and if implemented in 2012, with 718 000 deaths averted and 11.2 million life-years gained through 2100.
Meaning These findings suggest that graphic health warnings on cigarette packages may be associated with important public health benefits, and industry litigation and procedural delays to implementation may have been harmful for public health.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
Publication Info
Published in JAMA Health Forum, Volume 2, Issue 9, 2021, pages e212852-.
Rights
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License.
APA Citation
Tam, J., Jeon, J., Thrasher, J. F., Hammond, D., Holford, T. R., Levy, D. T., & Meza, R. (2021). Estimated Prevalence of Smoking and Smoking-Attributable Mortality Associated With Graphic Health Warnings on Cigarette Packages in the US From 2022 to 2100. JAMA Health Forum, 2(9), e212852. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamahealthforum.2021.2852